By Mike McIntyre
The end is near tennis fans.
The ATP World Tour Finals being held in London, England marks the official end of the 2010 tennis season. The top eight players in the world are gathered to duke it out for bragging rights and a little extra cash as well.
While not nearly as prestigious as a Grand Slam event, the year-end tourney offers up more quality matches in one week than we are normally accustomed to watching. In a regular event the top eight players can only meet in the quarter-finals and rarely do we see them all left as the final ones standing. Here in London we get some fantastic matches right from the get-go with the field split into two groups of four players who all play each other once in the round robin format.
In Pool A this year we have world number one Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Tomas Berdych and Andy Roddick.
Pool B has Roger Federer, Andy Murray, Robin Soderling and David Ferrer.
Let’s take a closer look at both pools and speculate on who has the best chance of ending the year with a final tournament victory.
Rafael Nadal has just completed another mind-boggling season, perhaps his best one yet. Capturing three Grand Slams including his first U.S. Open title, Nadal has been by far the most dominant player on the ATP World Tour.
Shoulder troubles hampered Nadal in recent weeks and kept him out of the Masters 1000 event in Paris, but he claims to be healthy now and ready to go. Nadal has been out since early October and without much match time lately I wonder if he will be as sharp as he will need to be to take this title for the first time in his career. Nadal has twice before made the semi-finals of this event, losing both times to Roger Federer.
Novak Djokovic had a decent year in 2010 but has still not been able to win a Slam since his one and only such victory at the Australian Open in 2008. He made the finals at the U.S. Open in September defeating Roger Federer in a memorable semi-final, but then fell to a very in-form Nadal. Djokovic has lost twice to Federer this fall and most recently lost the third round in Paris.
Tomas Berdych is the only first-time participant in the event and had his best year on Tour. The 25 year-old participated in the most number of tournaments of anyone in the top ten and made his first ever Grand Slam final at Wimbledon. Since that time he has failed to advance past the quarter-finals of any event and has not had two consecutive victories in any event since he played Toronto in August.
American veteran Andy Roddick has not had the type of year he was hoping for as he did not advance past the quarter-finals of any of the Grand Slams. He also uncharacteristically had poor showings at both Wimbledon and the U.S. Open and dropped out of the top-ten for a short time as well. Roddick’s best results came early in the season and it is tough to imagine him advancing deep in London.
Roger Federer has had a tough go by his standards this year but did capture one Slam in Australia and after a surprising loss to Berdych at Wimbledon has played with far greater consistency and resolve. He has gone 30-4 since that defeat and has won three titles. If he can get through Andy Murray – who has given him all sorts of problems in his career – he should have a good shot at taking this title.
Murray has been very inconsistent this year but still has Federer’s number for the most part. Federer still seems to get the better of the Scot in Grand Slam matches when things matter the most, but otherwise Murray has dominated the Swiss star. Murray won the Masters 1000 event in October in Shanghai, but since then has lost to Juan Monaco and Gael Monfils. He definitely has the ability to win this event, but will have to defeat some big names in order to make that happen.
Robin Soderling is a player who also has a serious shot at this title. He won the first Masters 1000 series event of his career recently in Paris and has proved over the past two years that he belongs in the top ten. Lookout for him this week as well.
Feisty Spaniard David Ferrer has played well since the U.S. Open with one tournament victory in Valencia and another final appearance in Beijing. The 28 year-old is the one player who is likely to get handled quite easily with a field as deep as this one. It is a noble accomplishment that he has qualified for this event but I don’t expect him to last long.
My call is for the either Federer or Murray to emerge victorious in London this year. They have both had some strong results this fall and should be hungry to end the year on a high note.
Enjoy this week’s tennis everyone and we’ll see you again around the corner in 2011.